Silver Force Majeure?

I should say there’s a “rumor” that’s a major Comex silver buyer is demanding physical delivery on 5,000 contracts.

Silver Force Majeure?I’ve checked various sources and have been unable to confirm this rumor. Personally, I would think if this were true it would make headlines in every financial market in the world.

If it were true, this is one way it could play out:

Silver Force Majeure?

• Big buyer demands delivery → COMEX can’t fill → force majeure → paper silver tanks (your “dip”).
• SLV follows paper down initially (fear sells), but rebounds quicker than pure futures because it’s real metal.
• Volatility: expect 5–15% swings in minutes/hours.

A force majeure on COMEX silver would decouple the paper market (futures) from the physical one. Shorts who can’t deliver get to settle in cash at a fixed price—often the last traded or an averaged one (likely lower, to minimize the payout). That creates immediate forced selling or liquidations in the futures market as leveraged players bail, so the paper price (COMEX spot/futures) can dip sharply or even crash temporarily—think panic, margin calls, and the exchange trying to stabilize.

Meanwhile, physical silver (bars, coins, Shanghai/LBMA) skyrockets because real buyers (industry, China, stackers) still need metal, and supply’s already tight. Premiums explode—physical could hit $130–$150+ while paper lags at $70–$80.

SLV? It’s physically backed (520M+ ounces in vaults, separate from COMEX), so it should benefit long-term from the physical surge—tracking the true spot price higher as the decoupling forces a revaluation. But short-term, SLV could dip too because it’s traded like a stock/ETF: panic selling, wider premiums/discounts, or arbitrage pressure from the cheap paper price. Once the dust settles, SLV tends to snap back to real physical value—often with a premium.

Bottom line: force majeure = paper pain (dip or collapse), physical gain (spike). SLV rides the physical wave eventually, but expect volatility—maybe a quick flush before the moonshot. Physical in-hand still wins for zero counterparty risk. What’s your plan—holding SLV or grabbing more bars?

Disclaimer: This post is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial, investment, or legal advice. Precious metals prices are highly volatile and can change dramatically. Past performance does not predict future results. Always do your own research, consult a qualified financial advisor, and never invest more than you can afford to lose. The author is not responsible for any decisions based on this post.

Silver Force Majeure?

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